WORKING PAPERS

  • The Iran Nuclear Archives and their implications

    Brigadier General Yossi Kuperwasser

    More than a year has already elapsed since Israel managed to bring the Iranian nuclear archive from a warehouse in Tehran to Tel Aviv and showed the world that Iran lied regarding the military dimensions of its nuclear program and misled the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

    Working Paper n. 56

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  • Beyond the "Atomic Archive": Making Sense of Iran

    Bruno Tertrais

    In January 2018, through a clandestine operation that took place in Shorabad (a distant Tehran suburb), Israel obtained a large number of documents, which shed new light on the Iranian nuclear program. Along with more recent developments, the Archive suggests that Tehran?s weaponization efforts could be ? assuming that it remains dormant ? reactivated at any time. Irrespective of the exact fate of the provisions included in the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), Tehran?s enduring nuclear weapons expertise, and probable violations of its Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement (CSA) and Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) legally-binding commitments leave little doubt about its persistent intentions.

    Working Paper n. 57

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  • Iran´s Strategy of Revolutionary Warfare and its Impact on Israel and the Region: an Updated Assessment

    Jonathan Spyer

    Tensions between the west and the Islamic Republic of Iran are currently at an unprecedented point. Facing for the first time a serious attempt by the US and its allies to push back at its regional advance of recent years, Iran is responding with controlled aggression.

    Working Paper 54

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  • Israel and the Emergent Western Conflict Against Iran in Syria

    Jonathan Spyer

    The two wars that have been raging in Syria over recent years are currently drawing to a close. They are set to be replaced, however, not by tranquility and peace, but rather by the opening up of new conflict systems on Syrian soil.

    Working Paper n. 50

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  • The Gaza Spring Offensive: Hamas Hybrid Warfare Threat and Israel

    Brigadier general (Res.) Assaf Orion

    This report analyses the occurrences from the strategic, operational and tactical levels, from both political and military aspects, and sets the unfolding events in a wide context. A thorough look into the parties' options, choices and actions arrives at a clear conclusion: while the Gaza Strip under Hamas is indeed in dire conditions, the Gaza terror government sought to forcefully coerce Israel into concessions, helping Hamas out of its straits.

    Working Paper 48

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  • Iran: Possible Responses to a US Scrapping of the JCPOA

    Alexander Greenberg

    The Trump administration's decision to withdraw from the Iranian nuclear deal has put decision-makers in Tehran on the defensive. Though the prospect of such a move had been a predictable possibility for months, the nature of Iran's response has always been harder to anticipate.

    Working Paper 47

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